Trajectory-Based Classification of Recovery in Sensorimotor Complete Traumatic Cervical Spinal Cord Injury
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Abstract
Objective To test the hypothesis that sensorimotor complete traumatic cervical spinal cord injury (SCI) is a heterogenous clinical entity comprising several subpopulations that follow fundamentally different trajectories of neurologic recovery.
Methods We analyzed demographic and injury data from 655 patients who were pooled from 4 prospective longitudinal multicenter studies. Group-based trajectory modeling was applied to model neurologic recovery trajectories over the initial 12 months postinjury and to identify predictors of recovery trajectories. Neurologic outcomes included upper extremity motor score, total motor scores, and American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) grade improvement.
Results The analysis identified 3 distinct trajectories of neurologic recovery. These clinical courses included (1) marginal recovery trajectory, characterized by minimal or no improvement in motor strength or change in AIS grade status (remained grade A); (2) moderate recovery trajectory, characterized by low baseline motor scores that improved approximately 13 points or AIS conversion of 1 grade point; (3) good recovery trajectory, characterized by baseline motor scores in the upper quartile that improved to near maximum values within 3 months of injury. Patients following the moderate or good recovery trajectories were younger, had more caudally located injuries, had a higher degree of preserved motor and sensory function at baseline examination, and exhibited a greater extent of motor and sensory function in the zone of partial preservation.
Conclusion Cervical complete SCI can be classified into one of 3 distinct subpopulations with fundamentally different trajectories of neurologic recovery. This study defines unique clinical phenotypes based on potential for recovery, rather than baseline severity of injury alone. This approach may prove beneficial in clinical prognostication and in the design and interpretation of clinical trials in SCI.
Glossary
- AIS=
- American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale;
- ASIA=
- American Spinal Injury Association;
- BIC=
- Bayesian information criterion;
- CI=
- confidence interval;
- FIM=
- Functional Independence Measure;
- GBTM=
- group-based trajectory modeling;
- ISNCSCI=
- International Standards for Neurologic Classification of Spinal Cord Injury;
- MAR=
- missing at random;
- MVC=
- motor vehicular collision;
- NACTN=
- North American Clinical Trials Network;
- NASCIS III=
- Third National Acute Spinal Cord Injury Study;
- RRR=
- relative risk ratio;
- SCI=
- spinal cord injury;
- STASCIS=
- Surgical Timing in Acute Spinal Cord Injury Study;
- TMS=
- total motor score;
- UEMS=
- upper extremity motor score;
- ZPP=
- zone of partial preservation
Footnotes
Go to Neurology.org/N for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.
- Received June 1, 2020.
- Accepted in final form March 1, 2021.
- © 2021 American Academy of Neurology
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